As the race enters its final days, More in Common’s latest Holyrood projection finds the SNP gaining ground – but still falling short of a majority. Meanwhile, Labour falls back further, facing a potentially historic defeat. With nearly a fifth of Scottish voters still undecided and five marginal seats separating the SNP from a majority, the result remains highly uncertain.

Our first Scottish MRP projects that the SNP will remain the largest party in Holyrood – but squeezed on all sides and short of a majority. Meanwhile Reform UK is on track to break through North of the border for the first time.