4 July 2024
Luke Tryl, of More In Common, said: “The fact that I can say Ed Davey’s chance of being leader of the opposition isn’t zero is extraordinary. Such a result will be predominated with questions over the future of the Tories and how strong an opposition they could form.”
4 July 2024
Who will win UK General Election? Poll predicts Labour will annihilate Tories
Another poll of 13,556 people by More in Common forecast the Tories will be reduced to just 126 seats, while Labour is expected to outperform its 1997 landslide victory by getting 430 MPs.
4 July 2024
Polling predicts how Britain’s diverse voter base could swing at the general election
New polling has forecast how the UK’s different ethnic minority groups will likely be voting on Thursday, with the war in Gaza a major concern for 1 in 5 of the nation’s Asian voters.
Exclusive polling for The Independent by More In Common shows that Black voters are still far more likely to vote Labour than any other party and more than any other ethnicity.
3 July 2024
Luke Tryl, the executive director of More in Common, said: “With hours to go before polls opening, our latest MRP suggests the Conservative Party are heading for the worst result in their history, while Labour look set to achieve a record-breaking majority of their own.
But Mr Tryl went on to warn it would be “a mistake to assume that tomorrow doesn’t matter”, noting that more than 100 constituencies were still too close to call.
3 July 2024
Polling predicts how Britain’s diverse voter base could swing at the general election
Ed Hodgson, research manager at More In Common, said: “Labour looks set to match their strong national performance with a strong vote share among ethnic minority voters. Given the younger skew of this group, many of them will have voted Labour at every election since 2010, and never voted in a Labour Government.
Ethnic minority voters overwhelmingly think that a Labour government would make their life better, so this election marks the first chance for Labour to prove that this is the case.”
3 July 2024
A More in Common poll suggested Labour was on course for a majority of 210, while a YouGov study indicated Labour would get 431 seats and the Tories just 102.