In this episode of The Opinion Brief, we dive into the data behind the shifting tectonic plates of British politics. From a Reform UK lead in the polls to the “third rail” debate over cutting welfare to fund defence, we break down what the public actually thinks.

In this episode:

• The Mandelson Scandal: Why the public sees it as a “rigged system” and what it means for Keir Starmer’s perceived strength.
• National Voting Intention: Reform UK hits 27%, moving 5 points ahead of the Conservatives.
• Defence vs. Welfare: Would the public sacrifice the triple lock pension to fund the military?
• Elections Deep Dive: MRP model projections for the Scottish Parliament and Welsh Senedd.
• The “Milk” Index: How your choice of milk (Oat vs. Cow) predicts your vote.